|
****************************************** * * * MODULE B3 * * * * EDA FEEDBACK Model Calibration * * * ****************************************** **************************** * * * ESTIMATION PROCESS * * * **************************** CYCLE RELATIVE CHANGE IN MAXIMUM RELATIVE CHANGE MAXIMUM RELATIVE CHANGE COEFF. OF DISP. IN ALPHAS (ABSOLUTE) IN BETAS (ABSOLUTE) 1 -1000000.000 .004 .061 2 -.014 .007 .042 3 -.006 .005 .035 4 -.005 .004 .026 5 -.004 .003 .020 6 -.003 .002 .016 7 -.003 .002 .012 8 -.002 .001 .010 9 -.011 .000 .007 *************************** * * * GLOBAL STATISTICS * * * *************************** EDA-Feedback Inc. Software Version 2004.01d SMALL COPYRIGHT (C) 1983,1985,1996,2001 By EDA FEEDBACK Inc. of FLORIDA NUMBER OF CYCLES EXECUTED = 9 ACTUAL SALES MODEL MEAN OF SALES 243237.90 243076.30 STANDARD DEVIATION 90202.63 88334.64 COEFFICIENT OF DISPERSION 6.461 COEFFICIENT OF CORRELATION .975 INDEX OF VERTICAL INEQUITY .045 ****************************************** * * * DISTRIBUTION OF PERCENTAGE ERROR * * * ****************************************** QUARTILE 1 QUARTILE 2 QUARTILE 3 QUARTILE 4 GLOBAL LESS 180000. 230000. GREATER THAN TO TO THAN 180000. 230000. 286100. 286100. N % N % N % N % N % LESS THAN 5% 24 42.9 25 44.6 25 48.1 26 49.1 100 46.1 5 - 10% 16 28.6 20 35.7 20 38.5 16 30.2 72 33.2 10 - 15% 7 12.5 5 8.9 4 7.7 10 18.9 26 12.0 15 - 25% 8 14.3 6 10.7 3 5.8 1 1.9 18 8.3 25 - 50% 1 1.8 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 1 .5 50 - 100% 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 100 - 300% 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 300% AND MORE 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 TOTAL 56. 56. 52. 53. 217. % OF TOTAL 25.81 25.81 23.96 24.42 100.00 MEAN OF % ERROR 7.88 6.73 6.11 6.02 6.71 ***************************** * * * DETAILED STATISTICS * * * ***************************** EDA-Feedback Inc. Software Version 2004.01d SMALL COPYRIGHT (C) 1983,1985,1996,2001 By EDA FEEDBACK Inc. of FLORIDA ACTUAL SALES MODEL PREDICTIONS ---------------------- --------------------------- LOCATION N MEAN STD DEV MEAN STD DEV C OF DISP 1:1005 12 153294. 16822. 154936. 27801. 9.20 2:1010 15 184583. 38056. 185304. 38014. 5.37 3:1020 2 165000. 15000. 161754. 4800. 6.31 4:2010 18 204333. 32608. 203737. 30627. 7.21 5:2020 14 223900. 66518. 221319. 50903. 8.24 6:3005 4 312475. 38195. 310560. 41217. 4.55 7:3010 32 252111. 65212. 251394. 57629. 6.09 8:3020 50 221047. 50946. 221549. 49890. 7.23 9:3030 13 224300. 51744. 222108. 45967. 4.19 10:4010 5 302780. 70653. 299337. 48888. 8.50 11:4020 11 384332. 153532. 385075. 155294. 2.75 12:5010 15 184527. 30621. 186278. 37361. 9.13 13:5020 1 163000. 31. 152580. 17. 6.83 14:6010 24 352443. 61403. 353438. 60323. 6.64 15:6020 1 615000. 21. 606081. 66. 1.47 ************************************************************* * * * QUALITATIVE CHARACTERISTICS FEEDBACK COEFFICIENTS * * * ************************************************************* GENERAL QUAL 1:LOCATION INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD FREQ REF (199907) 1:1005 1.132 1.132 1.132 12. 2:1010 1.036 1.036 1.036 15. 3:1020 .906 .906 .906 2. 4:2010 1.054 1.054 1.054 18. 5:2020 1.096 1.096 1.096 14. 6:3005 1.046 1.046 1.046 4. 7:3010 1.068 1.068 1.068 32. 8:3020 1.000 1.000 1.000 50. <-- 9:3030 .867 .867 .867 13. 10:4010 .924 .924 .924 5. 11:4020 1.020 1.020 1.020 11. 12:5010 1.070 1.070 1.070 15. 13:5020 1.052 1.052 1.052 1. 14:6010 1.014 1.014 1.014 24. 15:6020 1.012 1.012 1.012 1. BLDG QUAL 1:YRB INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD FREQ REF (199907) 1:OLD 1.050 1.050 1.050 0. 2:<1900 .957 .957 .957 12. 3:1900 - 1949 .891 .891 .891 36. 4:1950 - 1964 1.000 1.000 1.000 51. <-- 5:1965 - 1979 1.028 1.028 1.028 50. 6:1980 - 1994 1.014 1.014 1.014 30. 7:> 1994 1.036 1.036 1.036 38. 8:NEW 1.150 1.150 1.150 0. 2:QUAL INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD FREQ REF (199907) 1:LOW .600 .600 .600 0. 2:<90 .730 .731 .731 2. 3:90 - 99 .905 .905 .905 20. 4:100 - 109 .927 .927 .927 50. 5:110 - 119 1.000 1.000 1.000 61. <-- 6:120 - 129 1.063 1.063 1.063 49. 7:> 129 1.160 1.160 1.160 35. 8:HIGH 1.200 1.200 1.200 0. 3:STYLE INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD FREQ REF (199907) 1:RANCH .906 .906 .906 54. 2:SPLIT/TRI .964 .964 .964 7. 3:COLONIAL 1.000 1.000 1.000 60. <-- 4:CAPE .927 .927 .927 38. 5:BUNGALOW .970 .970 .970 2. 6:CONVENTIONAL .996 .996 .996 7. 7:MODERN/CONTEMP 1.004 1.004 1.004 10. 8:RAISED RANCH 1.051 1.051 1.051 26. 9:MULTI-FAMILY .865 .865 .865 12. 10:MOBILE HOME .636 .636 .636 1. LAND QUAL 1:MAPNO INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD FREQ REF (199907) 1:1 1.103 1.102 1.102 8. 2:2 .999 .999 .999 7. 3:3 .999 .999 .999 1. 4:4 1.064 1.064 1.064 2. 5:5 .720 .720 .720 0. 6:6 1.171 1.171 1.171 2. 7:7 .963 .963 .963 1. 8:8 1.077 1.077 1.077 9. 9:9 1.062 1.062 1.062 3. 10:10 1.122 1.122 1.122 3. 11:11 .934 .934 .934 9. 12:12 .871 .871 .871 2. 13:13 .972 .972 .972 2. 14:14 .950 .950 .950 0. 15:15 .951 .950 .950 19. 16:16 1.208 1.208 1.208 15. 17:17 1.196 1.196 1.196 3. 18:18 .773 .773 .773 3. 19:19 1.077 1.077 1.077 4. 20:20 .884 .884 .884 4. 21:21 .972 .972 .972 1. 22:22 1.004 1.004 1.004 13. 23:23 .946 .946 .946 13. 24:24 .933 .933 .933 5. 25:25 .874 .874 .874 1. 26:26 .977 .977 .977 1. 27:27 .878 .878 .878 5. 28:28 .812 .812 .812 9. 29:29 1.099 1.098 1.098 7. 30:30 .939 .938 .938 4. 31:31 1.000 1.000 1.000 25. <-- 32:32 .970 .970 .970 0. 33:33 1.161 1.162 1.162 4. 34:34 1.008 1.008 1.008 8. 35:35 .834 .834 .834 1. 36:36 1.099 1.099 1.099 13. 37:37 1.000 1.000 1.000 0. 38:38 .790 .790 .790 10. ************************************************************** * * * QUANTITATIVE CHARACTERISTICS FEEDBACK COEFFICIENTS * * (VALUE PER UNIT AT THE REFERENCE) * * * ************************************************************** BLDG QUANT INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD (199907) 1. TADJBS 82.697 92.289 92.289 2. BSFNAREA 5.984 6.673 6.673 3. GARAREA 22.480 25.082 25.082 4. IMPVAL 1.034 1.155 1.155 LAND QUANT INITIAL VALUES ENDING VALUES BASE PERIOD (199907) 1. PLVAL .979 1.092 1.092 2. EXLVAL .998 1.113 1.113 ***************************** * * * PREDICTION ANALYSIS * * * ***************************** EDA-Feedback Inc. Software Version 2004.01d SMALL COPYRIGHT (C) 1983,1985,1996,2001 By EDA FEEDBACK Inc. of FLORIDA FLAG=0: PASSED ALL VALIDATION TESTS FLAG=1: DISCARDED BY FILTER D FLAG=5: PROPERTIES ACCEPTED BY THE ASSESSOR PROP FLAG OBSERVED APPRAISED DEVIATION % DEVIATION VALUE 1 VALUE 2 1 0 243750. 253173. 9423. 3.9 139975. 113198. 2 0 305000. 291816. -13184. -4.3 201509. 90308. 3 0 212500. 214625. 2125. 1.0 147853. 66772. 4 0 230000. 209153. -20847. -9.1 129839. 79314. 5 0 230000. 237132. 7132. 3.1 171230. 65902. 6 0 162500. 160595. -1905. -1.2 95194. 65401. 7 0 175000. 162716. -12284. -7.0 136439. 26277. 8 0 260000. 308596. 48596. 18.7 204867. 103729. 9 0 133000. 150356. 17356. 13.0 99421. 50935. 10 0 325000. 314508. -10492. -3.2 249892. 64615. 11 0 347900. 330970. -16930. -4.9 236744. 94227. 12 0 147000. 142815. -4185. -2.8 71401. 71414. 13 0 280000. 297999. 17999. 6.4 220271. 77728. 14 0 320000. 332568. 12568. 3.9 236548. 96020. 15 0 320000. 273251. -46749. -14.6 181824. 91428. 16 0 143000. 147968. 4968. 3.5 77195. 70773. 17 0 179000. 203507. 24507. 13.7 144724. 58783. 18 0 280010. 248557. -31453. -11.2 123168. 125389. 19 0 239900. 238785. -1115. -.5 148547. 90238. 20 0 283000. 290409. 7409. 2.6 189335. 101073. 21 0 288000. 256174. -31826. -11.1 186587. 69586. 22 0 169900. 169779. -121. -.1 113333. 56446. 23 0 321000. 277188. -43812. -13.6 196520. 80667. 24 0 149300. 155722. 6422. 4.3 85736. 69986. 25 0 222000. 215497. -6503. -2.9 137111. 78386. ************************************** * * * STATISTICS OF THE VALIDATION * * * ************************************** EDA-Feedback Inc. Software Version 2004.01d SMALL COPYRIGHT (C) 1983,1985,1996,2001 By EDA FEEDBACK Inc. of FLORIDA * DETAILED STATISTICS * SINGLE TWO THREE FOUR OR MORE NEIGHBORHOOD VACANT LAND FAMILY UNITS FAMILY UNITS FAMILY UNITS FAMILY UNITS GLOBAL VALID FLAG VALID FLAG VALID FLAG VALID FLAG VALID FLAG VALID FLAG GLOBAL 0 0 216 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 216 1 Neighborhood 1005 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 Neighborhood 1010 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 Neighborhood 1020 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 Neighborhood 2010 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 Neighborhood 2020 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 Neighborhood 3005 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 Neighborhood 3010 0 0 32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 0 Neighborhood 3020 0 0 49 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 1 Neighborhood 3030 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 Neighborhood 4010 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 Neighborhood 4020 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 Neighborhood 5010 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 Neighborhood 5020 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Neighborhood 6010 0 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 0 Neighborhood 6020 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Back to Top
|
Please email us at IAS@IAandS.com
with any questions or for information.
Last Modified: 06/02/2005 |